Romney 2016: Red Flag Warnings in 2012 Exit Poll Data

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Before Romney asks his wallet-enhanced friends to ask their friends to send him a check, everyone should take a closer look at the 2012 presidential exit polls where they will find red flag warnings emblazoned with a Romney ’16 logo.

In order to examine those exit polls in context, let’s first review the “big picture stats” from the 2012 presidential election.

Romney lost the popular vote to Obama by a margin of 47% to 51%. The raw numbers were 65,918,507 to 60,934,407. Not all that bad, but it rasies the question, “How does Romney reach 51% in 2016?”

More important was the shellacking Romney took in the Electoral College, losing to Obama by a huge margin of 332 to 206.

Romney’s 64 vote deficiency of the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win is easily explained by the demographics of gender, race and age as seen in the exit poll data. When applied to a potential 2016 run, here are Romney’s most troublesome 2012 data points.
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